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How data analytics and machine learning can transform your procurement processes

posted by Kyriakos Christodoulides, on 20/03/23 at CIPS's Supply Management Magazine

Data analytics is a powerful tool for procurement professionals to unlock value in their data – but it's far from a one size fits all.

By understanding the different types, and their relevance to procurement, leaders and professionals can make informed decisions that lead to more optimised processes and better outcomes. 

Data analytics can be categorised into four groups: descriptive, diagnostic, predictive and prescriptive. Descriptive and diagnostic analytics are typically more basic, while predictive and prescriptive categories are referred to as advanced because they use more sophisticated methods and uncover deeper insights.

The four categories of data analytics explained

  • Descriptive analytics provides a retrospective view of what has happened, answering questions around spend by category, supplier, and region, and allowing for informed decisions about sourcing, negotiations, and contract management.
  • Diagnostic analytics goes a step further by answering the question "why did it happen?" and often requires a more granular analysis and business understanding. This can help procurement professionals identify the root causes of overspending and take corrective actions, such as recovering false expenditure, renegotiating contracts, seeking alternative suppliers, or implementing better spend controls.
  • Predictive analytics addresses "what will happen?" and can help procurement teams make informed decisions around procurement planning, inventory management and fraud prevention.
  • Prescriptive analytics focuses on "how can we make it happen?" and can help procurement leaders make informed decisions in areas such as supplier selection and purchase order optimisation.

Where does machine-learning fit in?

While there can be an overlap between advanced data analytics (ADA) and machine-learning (ML), the distinction lies in their specific use cases, the amount and complexity of the data utilised, the sophistication required and the level of human involvement versus automation involved.

Both ADA and ML can uncover insights and help make informed decisions around procurement strategy and operations by targeting processes such as demand forecasting, inventory management, and spend analysis. Some cases, involving less structured and more complex data, require cutting edge ML. For example, if a procurement team wants to analyse large volumes of supplier feedback, customer reviews, or legal contracts to identify patterns, sentiment, or risky clauses, this would require state of the art natural language processing algorithms.

ADA and ML models can overlap, but ML algorithms typically require a higher level of mathematical and statistical knowledge compared to advanced data analytics. ML can range from simple linear and logistic regression models to more complex models like decision trees, random forests and neural networks.

ADA can involve a human carefully creating a model, which is then tested for validity. In ML, a human helps train a model to understand how well it can adapt and predict new data, given business constraints. But after that, the model can re-train and re-learn from new datasets on its own, making it more autonomous and dynamic. However, these models do still benefit from human oversight and corrections.

It’s also important to stress part of the confusion between ADA and ML is related to not distinguishing between models and processes when referring to these terms. An ADA process might be obtaining insights, for instance understanding the characteristics of suspicious financial transactions based on historical data, whereas an ML process could involve continuous monitoring, eg. real-time prediction of suspicious financial transactions based on historical data.

In other words, even if ADA and ML might be using the exact same mathematical model, the ML process can include the ADA process in a way that automates and optimises the tasks ADA performs.

So where do you start when implementing procurement analytics?

Identifying the low-hanging fruit is essential, and businesses should focus on projects that provide a direct connection to value, impact multiple areas of the business, and make it easy to envision the potential of ADA and ML.

Such swift, high-ROI, holistic procurement analytics projects are feasible when expertise in data science, research, and forensic accounting are combined. At Novel Intelligence, we help organisations boost their cashflow, optimise operational efficiencies, and minimise risk using exactly this multidisciplinary approach.

In conclusion, data analytics is a powerful tool for procurement professionals to unlock value in their data. By understanding the different types of data analytics and their relevance to procurement, leaders and professionals can make informed decisions that lead to more optimised procurement processes and better business outcomes. Both ADA and ML have the potential to transform procurement processes and drive better business outcomes, and procurement professionals can benefit from understanding the different types of data analytics and their relevance to procurement.

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Add Your Heading Text Here

Contrary to popular belief, Lorem Ipsum is not simply random text. It has roots in a piece of classical Latin literature from 45 BC, making it over 2000 years old. Richard McClintock, a Latin professor at Hampden-Sydney College in Virginia, looked up one of the more obscure Latin words, consectetur, from a Lorem Ipsum passage, and going through the cites of the word in classical literature, discovered the undoubtable source. Lorem Ipsum comes from sections 1.10.32 and 1.10.33 of “de Finibus Bonorum et Malorum” (The Extremes of Good and Evil) by Cicero, written in 45 BC. This book is a treatise on the theory of ethics, very popular during the Renaissance. The first line of Lorem Ipsum, “Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet..”, comes from a line in section 1.10.32.

The standard chunk of Lorem Ipsum used since the 1500s is reproduced below for those interested. Sections 1.10.32 and 1.10.33 from “de Finibus Bonorum et Malorum” by Cicero are also reproduced in their exact original form, accompanied by English versions from the 1914 translation by H. Rackham.

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